It’s could be that it is not Donald Trump who will hurt down ticket voting in Illinois. It could be that Hillary Clinton will be giving Rauner a hand in picking up seats in the Illinois legislature.
That is what happens when the Democrats pick the worst possible candidate to head the ticket.
Rich Miller is reporting:
I’ve been asking Democratic operatives lately what is keeping them awake at night, and they’ve all had about the same basic answer.
Targeted legislative races can often be decided by just a handful of votes. Rep. Kate Cloonen (D-Kankakee) is the most extreme example of this, winning by an average of about 100 votes the last two cycles. Rep. Mike Smiddy (D-Hillsdale) won his 2014 race by 314 votes. Former Democratic Rep. Frank Mautino won his last race two years ago by 337 votes.
The biggest potential problem is the unpredictability of Donald Trump’s supporters. Some Dems believe his support is actually higher than the polls are currently showing.
And in any given district, five hundred (or even fewer) Trump backers who rarely vote and therefore haven’t been personally contacted much, if at all, by either side could decide to head to the polls on election day and then continue supporting Republican candidates straight down the ticket and create some upsets.
Recall that in the primary Hillary Clinton started with a 20 point lead over Bernie Sanders and after basically a three-week campaign Sanders lost the state by a relative handful of votes and split the state’s delegates.
She is just that terrible a candidate.
No, she won’t lose Illinois.
But neither may Rauner.