I don’t have much influence in Illinois’ 12th Congressional District.
It is in the most southern part of the state.
Closer to Jackson, Mississippi than it is to Chicago.
12th CD readers of my blog: Wave if you can see me!
But Trump has been so awful that even in 12th CD, the Democrats have a shot to win the congressional seat. One poll has Democrat Brendan Kelly within the margin of error. Another has Kelly and Republican Mike Bost only a percentage point apart.
So, who is the National Education and the Illinois Education Association supporting?
Kelly? No. They are supporting Mike Bost.
He has a 98% pro-Trump voting record.
There are different definitions of what exactly constitutes downstate Illinois, but it generally means everything south of the Chicago metro area. It’s a far more conservative place than Chicagoland and this year there are two GOP House members there, Reps. Mike Bost and Rodney Davis, who are in tough reelection campaigns. This is the part of a very blue state where President Donald Trump remains somewhat popular, so he’s come to the region at least twice in recent months to bolster their chances.
Complicating their predicament, however, is Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner. He’s on a trajectory to lose to Democrat J.B. Pritzker by a wide margin, and a poor GOP performance in southern Illinois at the top of the ticket could play a role in dragging down Bost and Davis, not to mention the Republican slate of state legislative candidates.
That would only compound Republican problems in Illinois: In the Chicago suburbs and exurbs, there are two more Republican House incumbents who are in even more serious danger — Reps. Randy Hultgren and Peter Roskam, who are contending with blowback from Trump’s polarizing presidency.
Bost is one of a handful of Republican Trump supporters that the NEA is endorsing.
If the Repugs hold on to the House tonight. . .